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Sustainable and Responsible Investing

Real Estate: the Great Revolution

The effects of Covid-19 were many. Firstly, it had an impact on health. The disease also left a lasting impression on the minds of a whole generation. And it definitively affected several market sectors, including technology but also (and especially?) real estate, which has undergone a veritable revolution. Review and analysis of a strong investment theme.

The Facts

The Covid-19 pandemic has radically changed our lives. Under conditions of confinement and physical distancing keep the virus at bay, the home has become a vital place for a range of daily activities. The use of the home as a workplace has rapidly become a “new normal” for those who can work remotely and are encouraged to “stay at home” and “work from home if possible”.
Property analysis company CoreLogic reports that investors bought a record 25% of all detached houses in Britain through 2022. 
If working and learning at home has become a “'new normal”, then a key question arises: how should existing homes be redesigned and reorganised to become multi-functional spaces where people can actually work and learn?
This question is key to understanding the implications for urban planning and design if the home as a place to live, work, learn and socialise becomes a new norm of urban life.
The lessons learned so far from the pandemic and its aftermath have provided an opportunity to address some of the challenges in urban dwellings by re-examining current urban planning (re)development processes, regulations, policies, standards and codes. We now talk about sustainable cities or smart cities or ... smart sustainable cities!

What is a smart sustainable city?

A sustainable city is one designed to take into account social, environmental and economic impacts through urban planning and city management. Many sustainable initiatives are achieved by integrating green alternatives into the city's infrastructure, such as the adoption of pedestrian and bicycle lanes. Regulations and fines can also bring about change: waste removal orders have been shown to reduce the amount of waste going to landfills.
While finding ways to help the planet is essential to sustainable development, reducing costs and creating a vibrant culture for citizens is equally important. Through planned infrastructure, public green spaces, smart waste disposal and more, cities can leave a net zero footprint for a more sustainable world.
A smart city is an urban area that has become more efficient and/or more environmentally friendly and/or more socially inclusive through the use of digital technologies. The aim of a smart city is to improve its attractiveness for citizens and/or businesses by improving and/or adding urban services.
A smart sustainable city is therefore a combination of the two models.

How do we become a sustainable city?

What are cities doing to become more sustainable? A sustainable city concept integrates green practices, green spaces and supporting technologies into the urban environment to reduce air pollution and CO2 emissions, improve air quality and protect natural resources.

Cities can do many things to support sustainable practices:

  • Facilitating car-free travel
  • Adding charging stations for electric vehicles
  • Providing access to public resources and green spaces
  • Improving water conservation and wastewater management
  • Supporting urban agriculture
  • Implementing green architecture
  • Increasing the “social mix”

The “belt” boom

Even before the coronavirus struck, there were signs that more and more people in the US, for example, were moving to the suburbs, the so-called “belts”. These moves were motivated by a desire to "live differently".
After years of growth, New York City's population had begun to slowly decline by 2017.
Chicago and Los Angeles have also seen their populations plummet in recent years, while the economy has recovered in the suburbs and elsewhere. Other major cities have seen their growth virtually stagnate.
According to David Rosner, co-director of the Center for the History and Ethics of Public Health at Columbia University, historically, epidemics have played an important role in determining where and how people live in New York and other cities.
After the cholera epidemic that hit the city in the 19th century, for example, people began to leave lower Manhattan for other areas if they could afford it.
Suburban communities began to separate according to social class and population movements.
Closer to home, in France, job and housing applications in the outskirts of cities have tripled between spring 2020 and the end of last year.
Finally, let’s not forget the fundamental need for housing. A study by the ESCP Junior Conseil for the Federation of Property Developers shows, for example, that France would need to build almost ... 5 million housing units over ten years.

The example of Greater Paris

We could have taken the example of New York or Miami, but Paris also reflects the fundamental change in the real estate market in the world, a transformation that has accelerated since the onset of the Covid-19 crisis.
With the arrival of the Grand Paris Express and its 200 km of tracks and 68 stations, the Parisian suburbs will undergo changes by 2030.
This project will also result in the creation of major business centres and commercial and research areas. The economic development of Greater Paris will be based above all on the major centres of activity served by the new trains, such as La Défense (financial centre), Plaine Commune (cultural and creative centre), Roissy-Charles De Gaulle (international trade centre), Le Bourget (aeronautical centre), and the Saclay plateau (new centre of scientific and technological innovation).
These clusters ought to contribute to the attractiveness and competitiveness of the Greater Paris region on a global scale.
Each pole should generate thousands of jobs and the construction of housing (70,000 units per year are planned over a period of 25 years, 30% of which will be social housing).
INSEE predicts that the population of Greater Paris, estimated at 7 million inhabitants, will be younger (see Point d) and will be multiplied by 1.7 by 2030. Greater Paris is organised into 12 territories of at least 300,000 inhabitants and covers 814km², i.e., eight times the area of the City of Paris.
The Greater Paris project has and will change the real estate market by moving part of the transport system outside of the city. The demand for housing has obviously followed, as have the prices...

According to data from the Notaires du Grand Paris, the market for housing in the greater Paris region (Yvelines, Essonne, Val d'Oise and Seine-et-Marne) continues to soar.
Logically, prices follow the craze: up by an average of 4.8% over one year in all the departments of the greater Paris area.
More broadly, the 7 million inhabitants living in the metropolis produce 75% of regional GDP and 30% of national GDP. With the creation of the Grand Paris Express, the metropolis is likely to generate greater economic benefits.
In the long term, the Île-de-France Chamber of Commerce and Industry estimates that Greater Paris will add €140 billion to France's GDP and more than €60 billion in public revenue per year by 2030.

Conclusion

The Covid-19 health crisis has accelerated an existing trend: the expansion of large cities through the "annexation" of neighbouring municipalities. These new megacities will help to relieve congestion in the city centres, which were suffocating, and refashion the way we work and live.

Important information

Please do not hesitate to reach out to your privileged contact person at Mirabaud or contact us here if this topic is of interest to you. Together with our dedicated specialists, we will be happy to evaluate your personal needs and discuss possible investment solutions tailored to your situation.

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